We are halfway through the 2011 racing season at Hastings, and the traditional Canada Day card is set for tomorrow at 1:50pm.  With the new Pick 5 rules in effect, this might be the day where we see the first carryover for the year.  The Pick 5 races look to be quite contentious with large fields from start to finish.  It’s highlighted by two stakes races, the Lt. Governors’ and Chris Loseth Handicaps.  Here’s a closer look at the Chris Loseth Handicap:

STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt.Purse $50,000.Chris Loseth H.. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $100 on June 15, 2011 to accompany the nomination. With an additional $500 to enter and $1,000 to start. $50,000 Guaranteed. (05:55 PM) (10)
# Horse Odds Jockey Wgt A/S M/E Trainer
1 Inhisglory (KY) 5/2 Richard Harvey Hamel 120 3 G L Craig MacPherson
2 Jump Up And Kissme (BC) 3/1 Keveh Nicholls 118 3 G L Philip Hall
3 Too Much Dirt (BC) 9/2 David Wilson 118 3 C L Craig MacPherson
4 Tarue Grit (BC) 20/1 Marlo Dunn 110 3 G L Lenore Dubois
5 Arraignment (KY) 8/1 Pedro V. Alvarado 116 3 C L Robert Gilker
6 Outoftheclouds (BC) 15/1 Jorge Espitia 115 3 G L Mel Snow
7 Goldfire (BC) 12/1 Chad Hoverson 113 3 G L Barbara Heads
8 Whistler Gold (BC) 10/1 Amadeo Perez 114 3 G L David Forster
9 Patzcuaro (KY) 15/1 Francisco Perez Fuentes 112 3 G L Edward John Sams
10 Double Jack (IL) 6/1 Mario Gutierrez 117 3 G L Troy Taylor

And our take on the runners:

  1. Inhisglory:  Has been competitive in both 2011 starts.  He’s coming off the pace well and looks like he can handle the added distance.  I wouldn’t toss him from your trifecta, but his win odds may not be too appealing from a betting standpoint.
  2. Jump Up and Kissme:  This runner has been winning when close to the lead.  I expect 3-4 horses to set an honest pace here, so I’m not sure if he’ll be able to duplicate another front running win.
  3. Too Much Dirt:  Had a lengthy rally in his last race to grab the lead in the final furlong.  Impressive move considering he was also wide at the final turn.  Jockey change to Dave Wilson, but I like the chances here.
  4. Tarue Grit:  Did all the right things last out, moving at the second call but fading in the stretch.  Might have needed some more conditioning before getting into top form?  Nice odds.
  5. Arraignment:  Has been progressing nicely in his career, with two seconds and a win in four starts.  Was caught late in his last race but expect him to be a contender.
  6. Outoftheclouds:  The winner of the 2010 Jack Diamond Futurity has had a slow start to 2011.  Jorge Espitia takes over from Dave Wilson as the jockey.  A change up could be good here, with Jorge winning at a 16% clip.  Has been making moderate improvements in his starts, and fourth time could be the charm(?).
  7. Goldfire:  Was impressive in his maiden win, but barely involved in his next start.  Not sure what to make of his chances in this race.  Backers will be getting a longshot price at least.
  8. Whistler Gold:  Trying a route for the first time, he was a fading fourth in his last race, the River Rock 50k.  Not sure if he’ll have enough in the tank if the pace gets fast.
  9. Patzcuaro:  Alot of things can happen in a 3YO race, but this guy seems to be a few notches below the others in speed and competitiveness.
  10. Double Jack:   I’m hearing he is not feeling well (temperature) and will likely scratch.

Our betting journal has been bleeding red, but there’s still hope that we can salvage the rest of the season.  It’ll be tough to grind out a deficit with 6/5 payouts, so let’s go with $2 across the board on #4 Tarue Grit, and #3 Too Much Dirt.  Good luck folks.

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